III. simple "neutrality" by 2022
Neutrality is feasible.
The simplest pathway to “carbon neutrality” (i.e., neutrality considering only the limited range of emissions we currently measure) is to purchase only renewable energy for all campus electricity needs and to purchase carbon offsets for the remainder of our greenhouse gas emissions. According to New River Light and Power General Manager Ed Miller, this could be achieved in 2022, immediately upon initiating our new energy purchasing contract with Carolina Power Partners, formerly NTE (Nault 2020).
Simple "Neutrality"
Scope 2
22,479
Scope 3
27,113
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS (METRIC TONS, 2016)
Scope 1
18,785
}
OFFSET by purchasing carbon offsets
ELIMINATE by purchasing 100% renewable electricity
Neutrality is cheap.
Amazingly, this simple path to “neutrality” would cost only $7.4 million dollars per year. By contrast, we currently spend $6.3 million on dirty electricity, natural gas for the steam plant, and a very limited number of carbon offsets. In other words, the university could become carbon neutral in 2022 for only $1.1 million more than we currently spend. For perspective, this extra $1.1 million represents 0.26% (one-quarter of one percent) of total university expenses in 2019.
As the table and chart below illustrate, achieving simple carbon “neutrality” would cost the university about the same amount that it currently spends on football ($7.2 million) and even less than it spends on debt and loan fees ($9.7 million). The university’s investment income alone ($5.3 million) is almost enough to pay for simple “neutrality” and just the portion of student fees that goes to athletics ($12.5 million) could pay for simple “neutrality” almost twice!
The Pros & Cons of Simple "Neutrality"
This approach offers several advantages:
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It is simple to administer, allowing ASU to act immediately and achieve climate neutrality (or, at least, “neutrality”) before fully analyzing and implementing more substantive and far-reaching institutional changes.
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It establishes ASU as a leader, both symbolically and economically. This would make us the first mid-size public university to achieve carbon neutrality, thus giving us a credible claim to our marketing about sustainability. Such an accomplishment would very likely attract the attention of national media, prospective students, and potential donors. Additionally, making such a substantial investment in renewable energy would also help shift market conditions in favor of renewables.
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It establishes clear economic signals about when to adopt other measures. If we can implement energy efficiency, energy generation, behavior change, institutional change, or other measures at a lower cost than the $4.21 that we pay to offset each ton of CO2e, then those changes would be cost-effective.
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It will become cheaper over time, as the cost of renewables decreases and the cost of offsets decreases, freeing up money for other initiatives.
Despite these advantages, we advocate against an exclusive reliance on this path of simple “neutrality,” for several reasons.
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As the quotation marks imply, this approach would continue to undercount our total carbon emissions, giving the false impression that we are achieving neutrality when in fact we are still making significant contributions to global climate change. Given the extensive and intensive harm that will come from climate change, we cannot afford to fool ourselves and others in this way
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Offsets are too problematic to comfortably rely on for such a large portion of our efforts. Pragmatically, carbon offsets frequently overcount their supposed carbon sequestration benefits. For example, when carbon offsets are achieved through reforestation or timber restrictions, research shows that as much as 84-95% of the apparent carbon sequestration may be spurious (Gan and McCarl 2007; Wear and Murray 2004). Carbon offsets are also frequently challenged on a more fundamental level, because they allow people to continue polluting as usual with a clean conscience, and because they commodify nature in a way that can lead to new cycles of highly damaging speculation, perverse incentives, land grabbing and “carbon colonialism” (Astuti and McGregor 2017; Borras, et al. 2012; Fairhead, et al. 2012; Lyons and Westoby 2014; Osborne 2013; Sullivan 2013, 2018). That said, as we will see below there are opportunities to reconceptualize offsets so they contribute to thriving local economies and improvements in environmental justice.
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This is not a very economically savvy approach. Although the costs of simple “neutrality” are likely to decrease over time, no part of this pays for itself. Relying exclusively on purchased renewable energy and purchased offsets means there is no on-campus investment, and therefore no return on investment. By contrast, energy efficiency upgrades, changes to campus purchasing requirements, adjustments to the university schedule, changes to building standards, and on-campus renewable generation would pay themselves off at some point.
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Some administrators will argue that large-scale offset purchases are not permissible. However, we suspect this is only a minor nuisance. There are probably ways of treating offsets as investments in research and educational programming rather than purchases. Furthermore, if we are committed to change we need to treat these types of impediments as issues to be addressed, not definitive indicators of impossibility.
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Finally, this approach fails to leverage Appalachian State’s power, resources, and standing in the community to enhance the High Country, work towards justice, and contribute to larger-scale shifts in economic and political structures in a way that would ensure continued ethical and ecological decision-making.
Going One Step Beyond Simple "Neutrality"
The carbon neutrality pathway that the university administration is most likely to propose will involve the partial replacement of our dirty energy with renewables, the continuation of offsets as an opt-in initiative for commuters and university air travel, and investment in emissions reductions practices and technologies to increase energy efficiency. While this approach is less ambitious and less rapid than the simple “neutrality” pathway, it would offer some important improvements. For example, using behavioral changes and technology to address emissions at the source is far better--both ecologically and economically, when considering the long-term--than offsetting emissions after the fact.
Energy efficiencies are essential for any climate action plan. Because the App State Office of Sustainability and Facilities Management are already carefully analyzing these opportunities, and because they have significantly more expertise in the technology sector than we do, we will leave it to them to elaborate on the efficiency component of the climate action plan.
However, both history and logic show that technological and behavioral interventions to promote energy efficiency are insufficient for achieving climate neutrality. For example, former App State energy analyst Patrick Dees and Office of Sustainability Data and Assessment Specialist Jim Dees did outstanding work on energy efficiencies during years when they received sufficient funding. And the results were impressive: a 45% reduction in energy use per student between 2002 and 2017, the highest reduction in “energy use intensity” for the entire UNC System! It is difficult to imagine anybody achieving better results (Appalachian Energy Center 2018). However, this 45% increase in energy efficiency is responsible for only a fraction of the university’s 1% annual rate of reduction in CO2e emissions.
Clearly, to achieve anything resembling a responsible climate policy, the App State administration will need to enact far-reaching and aggressive measures that extend well beyond technological and behavioral interventions, and that make the work of carbon neutrality a universal commitment across the institution rather than the special project of a couple of people with an inadequate budget and a limited scope of influence.